No Human Coders in 5 Years? starts with the many predictions that these new LLM tools will replace all programmers. He makes the prediction instead that the best programmers with work with these tools to be better than any ordinary coder. My problem with this narrative is that it still assumes that the LLM tools… Read More »
Just Calm Down About GPT-4 Already from Rodney Brooks talks about his long-term study of AI and how he is not really excited about this new technology. The title of this post is his observation about humans mistaking AI.
Chatbots don’t help programmers summarized an article from Bertrand Meyer. Meyer suggests that an AI programming assistant as “a cocky graduate student, smart and widely read, also quick to apologize, but thoroughly, invariably, sloppy and unreliable”. A lot of people suggest that using an AI chatbot as an assistant might not result in a correct… Read More »
Artificial General Intelligence remains a distant dream despite LLM boom
https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.15004 suggests the some of the seemingly intelligent behavior of LLMs may be more a result of choice in how to measure it, than an actual phenomenon. Definitely need to read and understand the whole article for balance. Plenty of breathless optimism out there already.
I’m seeing more people becoming enamored with the LLMs, in particular ChatGPT and Copilot. While I can certainly see some interesting results, it seems that people underestimate the fact that the models don’t really know anything. My thought is that these models have actually automated the Dunning-Kruger Effect. The tools can generate confident text (or… Read More »
This deserves a much bigger write-up. But, with ChatGPT taking up so much mind share lately, I have an observation. During my career, I’ve seen several technologies or approaches that would allow non-programmers to write systems, and replace those expensive programmers. The claims that I can think of right off Even Visual Basic was touted… Read More »